auraboros.ai

The Agentic Intelligence Report

BREAKING
Evaluate Clinical ASR Models Faster with Agent Skills and NVIDIA Nemotron Speech (NVIDIA Developer Blog)PathoSage: Towards Multi-Source Evidence Adjudication in Pathology via Experience-Aware Agentic Workflow (arXiv cs.AI)How an Agent Built a 3D Paris Gallery by Chaining Two Hugging Face Spaces (Hugging Face Blog)Syll: Open-Source Personal Automation with Cross-Surface Execution (arXiv cs.AI)Contract2Tool: Learning Preconditions and Effects for Reliable Tool-Augmented LLM Agents (arXiv cs.AI)When AI builds itself - Anthropic (Anthropic News)Apple is embracing the fantasy of AI photo editing (The Verge AI Feed)SpaceX wants to put data centers in orbit, and Musk says it's no big deal (The Decoder AI)Sandstone raises $30M to bring AI to in-house legal teams (TechCrunch AI)Landmark German ruling declares Google's AI Overviews are Google's own words and makes it liable for false answers (The Decoder AI)Evaluate Clinical ASR Models Faster with Agent Skills and NVIDIA Nemotron Speech (NVIDIA Developer Blog)PathoSage: Towards Multi-Source Evidence Adjudication in Pathology via Experience-Aware Agentic Workflow (arXiv cs.AI)How an Agent Built a 3D Paris Gallery by Chaining Two Hugging Face Spaces (Hugging Face Blog)Syll: Open-Source Personal Automation with Cross-Surface Execution (arXiv cs.AI)Contract2Tool: Learning Preconditions and Effects for Reliable Tool-Augmented LLM Agents (arXiv cs.AI)When AI builds itself - Anthropic (Anthropic News)Apple is embracing the fantasy of AI photo editing (The Verge AI Feed)SpaceX wants to put data centers in orbit, and Musk says it's no big deal (The Decoder AI)Sandstone raises $30M to bring AI to in-house legal teams (TechCrunch AI)Landmark German ruling declares Google's AI Overviews are Google's own words and makes it liable for false answers (The Decoder AI)
MARKETS
NVDA $208.19 ▼ -2.43MSFT $403.41 ▼ -5.62AAPL $290.55 ▼ -9.72GOOGL $364.26 ▼ -2.83AMZN $244.19 ▼ -3.54META $584.59 ▼ -6.41AMD $475.50 ▼ -27.25AVGO $392.16 ▼ -9.45TSLA $396.68 ▼ -14.35PLTR $132.07 ▼ -2.80ORCL $205.81 ▼ -8.09CRM $175.35 ▼ -4.15SNOW $239.66 ▲ +0.66ARM $324.86 ▼ -37.39TSM $427.92 ▼ -2.96MU $935.89 ▼ -52.28SMCI $40.64 ▼ -4.26ANET $152.16 ▼ -5.59AMAT $499.21 ▼ -2.51ASML $1777.77 ▲ +1.15CIEN $439.34 ▼ -26.57NVDA $208.19 ▼ -2.43MSFT $403.41 ▼ -5.62AAPL $290.55 ▼ -9.72GOOGL $364.26 ▼ -2.83AMZN $244.19 ▼ -3.54META $584.59 ▼ -6.41AMD $475.50 ▼ -27.25AVGO $392.16 ▼ -9.45TSLA $396.68 ▼ -14.35PLTR $132.07 ▼ -2.80ORCL $205.81 ▼ -8.09CRM $175.35 ▼ -4.15SNOW $239.66 ▲ +0.66ARM $324.86 ▼ -37.39TSM $427.92 ▼ -2.96MU $935.89 ▼ -52.28SMCI $40.64 ▼ -4.26ANET $152.16 ▼ -5.59AMAT $499.21 ▼ -2.51ASML $1777.77 ▲ +1.15CIEN $439.34 ▼ -26.57

Education Subsection

P(DOOM) Calculator

A compact Bayesian toy for reasoning about catastrophic-risk assumptions without dragging that tool into the homepage payload.

Dark premium observatory scene with cascading probability arcs, a distant horizon, and precise signal geometry representing catastrophic-risk reasoning without readable text.

Reasoning Tool

Useful for structured thinking. Dangerous when treated like certainty.

This calculator is a toy model for making assumptions explicit: arrival, agentic behavior, controllability, and hostility. It is not a forecast engine. Its value is in exposing how much your conclusion depends on each conditional belief.

Good forSurfacing assumptions and sensitivity
Bad forPretending one toy posterior is real-world truth
Best useAs a thinking aid inside debate and education

Signal Tool

P(DOOM) Calculator

Explore how your assumptions multiply into a terminal-risk estimate.

Bayesian network nodes: D = ASI in 10y, A = agentic, U = uncontrollable, H = hostile.

Posterior via Bayes: P(E|D) = P(E|D)P(D) / [P(E|D)P(D) + P(E|¬D)P(¬D)]

How to use it

Change one assumption at a time

  • Move one conditional at a time and watch how sensitive the posterior becomes.
  • Use it to compare assumptions between people, not to fake precision.
  • Pair it with the AI Debates page if you want the argument layer around the math.

The value here is disciplined disagreement. The same headline can imply very different futures depending on the assumptions you quietly brought in before doing the math.