auraboros.ai

The Agentic Intelligence Report

BREAKING
Benchmarking LLM Inference at Scale with AIPerf (NVIDIA Developer Blog)A startup that builds other startups raised $100M, and is all-in on physical AI (TechCrunch AI)AI hallucination nearly triggers US military operation (TechCrunch AI)Anthropic is operating a lab that conducts biology experiments (TechCrunch AI)Meet the AI assistant that already knows your business - AI at Meta (Meta AI Blog)US Military Nearly Started World War III After AI Chatbot Hallucinated Nuclear Weapons Aboard a Chinese Ship (Futurism AI)A new kind of AI model from a ChatGPT inventor is thrilling developers (TechCrunch AI)Here’s How an AI Slowdown Could Actually Be Enforced (Wired AI)Disney’s first CTO led an AI startup it once accused of copying its characters (TechCrunch AI)Here’s Every Known Publication Owned by Brown Brothers Media, Which Buys News Sites and Turns Them Into AI-Powered Content Mills (Futurism AI)Benchmarking LLM Inference at Scale with AIPerf (NVIDIA Developer Blog)A startup that builds other startups raised $100M, and is all-in on physical AI (TechCrunch AI)AI hallucination nearly triggers US military operation (TechCrunch AI)Anthropic is operating a lab that conducts biology experiments (TechCrunch AI)Meet the AI assistant that already knows your business - AI at Meta (Meta AI Blog)US Military Nearly Started World War III After AI Chatbot Hallucinated Nuclear Weapons Aboard a Chinese Ship (Futurism AI)A new kind of AI model from a ChatGPT inventor is thrilling developers (TechCrunch AI)Here’s How an AI Slowdown Could Actually Be Enforced (Wired AI)Disney’s first CTO led an AI startup it once accused of copying its characters (TechCrunch AI)Here’s Every Known Publication Owned by Brown Brothers Media, Which Buys News Sites and Turns Them Into AI-Powered Content Mills (Futurism AI)
MARKETS
NVDA $222.27 ▲ +2.92MSFT $493.78 ▼ -4.19AAPL $336.13 ▼ -1.77GOOGL $349.54 ▼ -7.76AMZN $253.71 ▲ +0.79META $665.75 ▼ -22.87AMD $559.82 ▲ +12.45AVGO $357.61 ▲ +5.53TSLA $364.27 ▼ -4.73PLTR $177.64 ▲ +0.46ORCL $147.61 ▼ -2.86CRM $237.92 ▼ -6.33NVDA $222.27 ▲ +2.92MSFT $493.78 ▼ -4.19AAPL $336.13 ▼ -1.77GOOGL $349.54 ▼ -7.76AMZN $253.71 ▲ +0.79META $665.75 ▼ -22.87AMD $559.82 ▲ +12.45AVGO $357.61 ▲ +5.53TSLA $364.27 ▼ -4.73PLTR $177.64 ▲ +0.46ORCL $147.61 ▼ -2.86CRM $237.92 ▼ -6.33

Education Subsection

P(DOOM) Calculator

A compact Bayesian toy for reasoning about catastrophic-risk assumptions without dragging that tool into the homepage payload.

Dark premium observatory scene with cascading probability arcs, a distant horizon, and precise signal geometry representing catastrophic-risk reasoning without readable text.

Reasoning Tool

Useful for structured thinking. Dangerous when treated like certainty.

This calculator is a toy model for making assumptions explicit: arrival, agentic behavior, controllability, and hostility. It is not a forecast engine. Its value is in exposing how much your conclusion depends on each conditional belief.

Good forSurfacing assumptions and sensitivity
Bad forPretending one toy posterior is real-world truth
Best useAs a thinking aid inside debate and education

Signal Tool

P(DOOM) Calculator

Explore how your assumptions multiply into a terminal-risk estimate.

Bayesian network nodes: D = ASI in 10y, A = agentic, U = uncontrollable, H = hostile.

Posterior via Bayes: P(E|D) = P(E|D)P(D) / [P(E|D)P(D) + P(E|¬D)P(¬D)]

How to use it

Change one assumption at a time

  • Move one conditional at a time and watch how sensitive the posterior becomes.
  • Use it to compare assumptions between people, not to fake precision.
  • Pair it with the AI Debates page if you want the argument layer around the math.

The value here is disciplined disagreement. The same headline can imply very different futures depending on the assumptions you quietly brought in before doing the math.