auraboros.ai

The Agentic Intelligence Report

BREAKING
Why Cognition bought Poke: AI personality is becoming a competitive advantage (TechCrunch AI)AINTMA: Agentic AI Architecture for Autonomous Test Management with Generative Intelligence, Secure Cloud Communication and Adaptive Quality Analytics (arXiv cs.AI)Build a Database Advisor Agent with the DeepWiki Connector (TypeScript) - Mistral AI Documentation (Mistral AI News)Build a Database Advisor Agent with the DeepWiki Connector (Python) - Mistral AI Documentation (Mistral AI News)InferenceBench: A Benchmark for Open-Ended LLM Inference Optimization by AI Agents (arXiv cs.AI)Project Pilot: Can AI models fly drones? - Anthropic (Anthropic News)Prentis, new AI lab co-founded by Reid Hoffman, Marc Pincus in talks to raise $100M (TechCrunch AI)Computer Science Enrollment Now Declining Under Dark Cloud of AI (Futurism AI)Midjourney bought the astrology app Co-Star (The Verge AI Feed)Did Chinese AI Steal From Anthropic, and OpenAI Loses Control of Two Models (Wired AI)Why Cognition bought Poke: AI personality is becoming a competitive advantage (TechCrunch AI)AINTMA: Agentic AI Architecture for Autonomous Test Management with Generative Intelligence, Secure Cloud Communication and Adaptive Quality Analytics (arXiv cs.AI)Build a Database Advisor Agent with the DeepWiki Connector (TypeScript) - Mistral AI Documentation (Mistral AI News)Build a Database Advisor Agent with the DeepWiki Connector (Python) - Mistral AI Documentation (Mistral AI News)InferenceBench: A Benchmark for Open-Ended LLM Inference Optimization by AI Agents (arXiv cs.AI)Project Pilot: Can AI models fly drones? - Anthropic (Anthropic News)Prentis, new AI lab co-founded by Reid Hoffman, Marc Pincus in talks to raise $100M (TechCrunch AI)Computer Science Enrollment Now Declining Under Dark Cloud of AI (Futurism AI)Midjourney bought the astrology app Co-Star (The Verge AI Feed)Did Chinese AI Steal From Anthropic, and OpenAI Loses Control of Two Models (Wired AI)
MARKETS
NVDA $206.84 ▼ -0.61MSFT $381.70 ▼ -5.35AAPL $333.02 ▲ +11.23GOOGL $319.74 ▲ +1.32AMZN $232.11 ▼ -2.27META $595.19 ▼ -10.11AMD $521.95 ▼ -24.97AVGO $381.92 ▼ -5.76TSLA $313.03 ▼ -7.69PLTR $122.92 ▼ -2.25ORCL $114.99 ▼ -7.48CRM $163.66 ▲ +3.28SNOW $268.06 ▼ -0.84ARM $260.01 ▼ -22.76TSM $403.41 ▼ -7.94MU $920.95 ▼ -38.08SMCI $30.10 ▼ -0.52ANET $173.99 ▼ -0.01AMAT $536.25 ▼ -19.96ASML $1757.09 ▼ -32.79CIEN $390.96 ▼ -10.89NVDA $206.84 ▼ -0.61MSFT $381.70 ▼ -5.35AAPL $333.02 ▲ +11.23GOOGL $319.74 ▲ +1.32AMZN $232.11 ▼ -2.27META $595.19 ▼ -10.11AMD $521.95 ▼ -24.97AVGO $381.92 ▼ -5.76TSLA $313.03 ▼ -7.69PLTR $122.92 ▼ -2.25ORCL $114.99 ▼ -7.48CRM $163.66 ▲ +3.28SNOW $268.06 ▼ -0.84ARM $260.01 ▼ -22.76TSM $403.41 ▼ -7.94MU $920.95 ▼ -38.08SMCI $30.10 ▼ -0.52ANET $173.99 ▼ -0.01AMAT $536.25 ▼ -19.96ASML $1757.09 ▼ -32.79CIEN $390.96 ▼ -10.89

Education Subsection

P(DOOM) Calculator

A compact Bayesian toy for reasoning about catastrophic-risk assumptions without dragging that tool into the homepage payload.

Dark premium observatory scene with cascading probability arcs, a distant horizon, and precise signal geometry representing catastrophic-risk reasoning without readable text.

Reasoning Tool

Useful for structured thinking. Dangerous when treated like certainty.

This calculator is a toy model for making assumptions explicit: arrival, agentic behavior, controllability, and hostility. It is not a forecast engine. Its value is in exposing how much your conclusion depends on each conditional belief.

Good forSurfacing assumptions and sensitivity
Bad forPretending one toy posterior is real-world truth
Best useAs a thinking aid inside debate and education

Signal Tool

P(DOOM) Calculator

Explore how your assumptions multiply into a terminal-risk estimate.

Bayesian network nodes: D = ASI in 10y, A = agentic, U = uncontrollable, H = hostile.

Posterior via Bayes: P(E|D) = P(E|D)P(D) / [P(E|D)P(D) + P(E|¬D)P(¬D)]

How to use it

Change one assumption at a time

  • Move one conditional at a time and watch how sensitive the posterior becomes.
  • Use it to compare assumptions between people, not to fake precision.
  • Pair it with the AI Debates page if you want the argument layer around the math.

The value here is disciplined disagreement. The same headline can imply very different futures depending on the assumptions you quietly brought in before doing the math.